Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.054188 0.063947 0.074874 0.088004 0.103344 0.120687 0.141775
2025-06-15 0.039953 0.052794 0.068777 0.090084 0.117695 0.152215 0.198604
2025-06-22 0.030609 0.044177 0.062512 0.088996 0.126154 0.176308 0.249009
2025-06-29 0.024138 0.037503 0.056842 0.086693 0.131411 0.195679 0.294779
2025-07-06 0.019406 0.032163 0.051760 0.083811 0.134629 0.211725 0.337093
2025-07-13 0.016852 0.029576 0.050181 0.085641 0.144731 0.238714 0.398774
2025-07-20 0.014607 0.027025 0.048136 0.086203 0.152587 0.262814 0.458588
2025-07-27 0.012811 0.024895 0.046388 0.086852 0.160440 0.287559 0.522199
2025-08-03 0.011422 0.023242 0.045168 0.088145 0.169408 0.315026 0.593549
2025-08-10 0.010440 0.022179 0.044831 0.090930 0.181313 0.348871 0.680093
2025-08-17 0.008928 0.019800 0.041618 0.087707 0.181371 0.360939 0.727611
2025-08-24 0.007958 0.018376 0.040064 0.087503 0.187186 0.384347 0.799245
2025-08-31 0.007002 0.016843 0.038106 0.086280 0.190976 0.404643 0.868063
2025-09-07 0.006444 0.016112 0.037748 0.088419 0.202078 0.440952 0.973884
2025-09-14 0.005719 0.014865 0.036060 0.087369 0.206137 0.463131 1.052764
2025-09-21 0.005012 0.013536 0.033983 0.085111 0.207162 0.478889 1.119574
2025-09-28 0.004369 0.012250 0.031805 0.082280 0.206454 0.490684 1.178880
2025-10-05 0.004061 0.011785 0.031552 0.084078 0.216892 0.528673 1.302011
2025-10-12 0.003721 0.011175 0.030844 0.084630 0.224360 0.560629 1.414716
2025-10-19 0.003422 0.010624 0.030206 0.085268 0.232113 0.594111 1.534855
2025-10-26 0.003180 0.010196 0.029828 0.086539 0.241649 0.632961 1.672493
2025-11-02 0.003016 0.009972 0.029981 0.089275 0.255389 0.683749 1.845637
2025-11-09 0.002656 0.009081 0.028118 0.086108 0.252815 0.692932 1.913645